Patriots vs. Jets Week 17 Preview: Odds, Prediction & How to Watch (NFL 2025)
As Week 17 of the 2025 NFL season approaches, all eyes are on the AFC East clash between the New England Patriots and the struggling New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. With playoff implications on the line and one team riding a wave of momentum, this matchup has quickly become a must-see game for football fans and bettors alike.
š Betting Odds & Spread
- Point Spread: Patriots -12.5 (Patriots favored by nearly two touchdowns)
- Moneyline: Patriots heavily favored (around -943), Jets long underdogs (around +625)
- Over/Under: ~43.5 points total
Oddsmakers clearly see this as a oneāsided affair, reflecting the Patriotsā strong season and the Jetsā ongoing struggles. New Englandās superior record and form has pushed the Pats into one of the largest spreads of the Week 17 slate.Ā
š Team Form & Recent News
The Patriots have surged in 2025, securing a playoff berth and sitting with an impressive record as the regular season nears its finale. Their offense, led by rising star quarterback Drake Maye, has been effective in both passing and balanced scoring. Meanwhile, the Jets enter this game with a 3ā12 record, having endured a difficult season. New York has committed to rookie quarterback Brady Cook, despite his struggles, opting for evaluation over shortāterm success.Ā
šŗ When & Where to Watch
The game is set to kickoff at 1:00 PM ET (Sunday) from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. In the United States, viewers can watch on CBS (typical NFL Sunday broadcast), with live streaming available through NFL+ and other partner platforms. International streaming options vary by region.Ā
š Prediction & Score Expectation
Most predictive models and betting guides lean heavily toward a Patriots victory:
- A detailed simulation model suggests New England has around a 90% chance of winning this matchup.
- A common projected final score around the industry is Patriots ~27, Jets ~14.
- Analysts expect the total score to stay under the posted Over/Under of ~43.5 given New Englandās gameācontrol style and New Yorkās offensive struggles
š” Key Factors to Watch
Patriots Strengths:
- Balanced offense: Led by Drake Maye, plus productive weapons like TreVeyon Henderson and Stefon Diggs.
- Defense: New Englandās defense ranks among the leagueās better units at limiting big plays and controlling field position.
Jets Weaknesses:
- Quarterback inconsistency: Brady Cook has had difficulty sustaining drives under pressure.
- Offensive production: New Yorkās passing game has been among the leagueās least effective this season, which could stall scoring opportunities.
š Betting Tips & Considerations
ā Patriots Moneyline & Spread: The Patriots are strong favorites ā betting on New England to cover the -12.5 spread is a popular choice.
ā Total Points: Leaning Under 43.5 could be smart if New England controls the clock and slows the Jetsā attempts to score.
ā Prop Bets: Top Patriots players like TreVeyon Henderson and Rhamondre Stevenson are projected to be key scoring contributors, making player props worth watching.Ā
Final Takeaway
Expect the Patriots to continue their strong regularāseason form, extend their winning streak, and further cement their dominance in the AFC East. While the Jets will fight, a combination of New Englandās offensive firepower, Jetsā offensive inconsistency, and significant betting odds makes a Patriots win ā and likely a cover ā the most probable outcome heading into Week 17.Ā
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