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What if Elon Musk’s $1 trillion bet on Tesla AI unlocks humanity’s next golden age, or seals the fate of a daring empire in ruins?ng1

September 20, 2025 by Thai Nga Leave a Comment

Elon Musk is playing for keeps with Tesla’s jaw-dropping new pay package, unveiled on September 5, 2025—a staggering deal potentially worth up to $1 trillion if he hits sky-high milestones over the next decade. The SpaceX and xAI visionary, already the world’s richest man at $411 billion, could become the first trillionaire, but it’s a high-wire act tied to Tesla transforming into an AI and robotics juggernaut. Fans on X (#MuskTrillion) are hailing it as “the boldest bet in business history,” while critics scream it’s a “house of cards” built on broken promises. With Tesla’s board, led by Robyn Denholm, defending the plan as “fundamental to Elon’s vision,” the stakes couldn’t be higher—will Musk’s AI dreams make him untouchable, or send Tesla crashing?

The package, detailed in a SEC filing, rewards Musk with 1% stock options at each $1 trillion market cap milestone, from $2 trillion to $10 trillion, plus operational goals like delivering 20 million vehicles annually, 10 million Full Self-Driving subscriptions, 1 million Optimus robots, and 1 million Robotaxis. “Retaining Elon is key to Tesla becoming the most valuable company ever,” Denholm wrote, emphasizing his role in navigating “this inflection point” toward AI dominance. Musk must hold shares for 7.5 years to cash in, with no payout if targets flop—echoing his 2018 package voided by a Delaware judge but revived in Texas. Supporters like Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood see it fueling Tesla’s $8.5 trillion valuation dream through robotaxis and humanoid bots. “Elon’s singular vision is vital,” the board insists.

Skeptics, however, call it a “watered-down fantasy” of Musk’s unkept promises—like 1 million robotaxis by 2020, now just 20-30 trials in Austin. TechCrunch labeled the milestones “broken promises repackaged,” with adjusted EBITDA targets and vehicle deliveries seen as unattainable amid EV slumps. Shareholder lawsuits loom, echoing the 2018 backlash, and critics like Ross Gerber warn it dilutes common stock value. Tesla shares dipped 1% post-announcement, trading at $412, but Musk’s bravado—“Let’s make history”—has bulls charging.

This isn’t just pay—it’s a referendum on Musk’s AI empire. With Optimus bots and Full Self-Driving at the core, success could catapult Tesla to $10 trillion, making Musk untouchable. Failure? A $1 trillion wipeout and credibility crater. As shareholders vote in December, the world watches: genius gamble or reckless roulette? Musk’s trillion-dollar bet could redefine innovation—or expose the emperor’s new clothes.

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